It's not a race but rather how the models work, decentralized vs centralized.
Centralization has really good moderation, algorithm, and advertisement curating, the downside, is that moderation comes at the cost of potential censorship, the algorithms/ads collect a lot of data.
Vs.
Decentralized, no moderation, more freedom but as the Mastodon bridge shows problems can arise there too 😑, the other two seems like we have to explore still.
But really it's tradeoffs, 99% still accept centralized social media right now until the decentralized model is fleshed out more.
The ideal social media has content moderation but allows users to curate their own experience while still stopping the really bad stuff without censorship.
It let's algorithms/feeds be chosen by opt-in community types, or by other mechanisms, keywords, networks, machine learning, etc., and optional ad experience, let users control their data, trade data for money, or benefits/perks, boosted posts, or other ideas.
Really, I don't think either model will function well since it's not in the paradigm of thought.
It's similar to The Jewish vs. Greek understanding of The Bible, two different thought processes, if Nostr wants to attract centralized social media users we will need to compensate/hire ex-facebook, and twitter, etc. employees to help us cater more to those groups perhaps.