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sudocarlos
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People who follow the rules are almost always punished. To seek permission is to seek denial. Message me: signal.sudocarlos.com

why not is the real question. replace the hard drive if there's not enough space for a full node and whatever electrum software you want to run. i'd recommend fulcrum

Replying to Avatar Dylan LeClair

You'll often see charts or visuals illustrating the depreciation of the $USD over time, normalized to $1.00, of which I occasionally share myself.

However, there's an important caveat: these visuals rarely account for short-term yields. Displayed below is the purchasing power of $1, adjusting for annual CPI inflation (in red) versus the purchasing power of $1 accounting for 1-year Treasury yields less annual CPI inflation (in blue), starting from 1962

Notice anything?

The purchasing power of $1 from 1962 to the present equates to $1.85 when accounting for 1-year Treasury yields and inflation. Meanwhile, adjusting for inflation alone leaves you with just $0.10 of purchasing power.

Quite the massive difference.

However, there's more nuance to consider:

1) Let's separate the data into distinct eras,

From 1962 to start of 2009:

- Average annual inflation: 4.40%

- Average 1y yields: 6.22%

- Average difference: +1.82%

Real gains in purchasing power.

From 2009 to Present:

- Average annual inflation: 2.34%

- Average 1y yields: 1.00%

- Average difference: -1.34%

Real losses in purchasing power.

2) The data doesn't include the 1940s where financial repression massively devalued the USD to erode real debt burdens (the data I quickly threw together only went back to 1962) in the post war period.

3) Why 2009 for the change in eras? What has changed? If the U.S. can just pay a nominally higher yield than the inflation rate in perpetuity, are the fiat doomers really just delusional?

In my view:

- Positive real yields can be sustained with a clean balance sheet. It's feasible for the government to pay creditors a positive real interest rate when real debt burdens are low, demographics are booming, and the global GDP is exploding as the world industrializes.

- With Debt to GDP meaningfully > 100% and other tailwinds reversing, this is no longer the case. Post GFC and the introduction of ZIRP + QE to facilitate "growth", has the positive real yield era behind us, at least until real debt burdens have been eroded - which will take either explosive real growth, or a steady dose of inflation above yields, debasing creditors in the process.

The Bottom Line: The reality is that the average/median American individual or family often doesn't have much disposable income to capture such yields. The ones that do, benefit; and the ones that don't are the ones that pay for it.

When you look at charts showing record wealth disparity, or are wondering why the political landscape is more polarized than ever, keep this chart in mind.

Fiat inflation didn't bother the investor class from for forty years as yields outpaced inflation. Currency devaluation wasn't felt in the slightest by this cohort, they didn't just escape the devaluation, but outpaced it significantly.

Now, with Debt to GDP levels domestically and globally near record levels, expect the post 2009 dynamic to continue into the future on a longer time frame. Don't let the current tightening cycle fool you as to what must occur.

Inflation > Yields, over a sustained period of time, is the only way global governments can mask their insolvency.

Thanks for coming to my Ted Talk.

thanks for sharing stuff on here. don't even have to open x today

surprise: devs arent great at naming things.

fuck it, keep building

πŸ‘€ nostr:note19ghea3zjja8qa69v34fcapxvpy3dhmzjfmkcesxfazezp97qdnjqkg5erl

my bad, looks like the up-to-date version may be in a different branch so make sure you get the right one

their site links here but i thought they had updated more recently

https://github.com/starbackr-com/current

cheap capital continues to go to the large corporates. it's not surprising to see a misallocation of capital by government, but it's funny to see them inflating big companies while they also take another big company to court for monopoly claims.

https://www.techdirt.com/2023/09/11/critics-say-rules-affixed-to-bidens-massive-broadband-subsidy-program-boxes-out-small-isps-and-community-broadband/

well you're already killing it, so just continue

hermano, compai (best guess on how to spell this)

first football sunday, maybe nostriches are socializing with irl friends

found it, of course it's "nostrich" ☺️

I think Apple saw a popular app promoted by nostr:npub1sg6plzptd64u62a878hep2kev88swjh3tw00gjsfl8f237lmu63q0uf63m that allowed users to zap each other without going through in-app purchases and didn’t bother to look any further. What amount of money could nostr:npub1earna05hx6ax38r33h3atmecjzdu547m8suw87w70aw6mlyga4hsqcja5j have possibly offered to get special treatment? I don’t think it works like that.

i think each app can get reviewed by a different employee that understands and follows app store guidelines and policies differently and there's probably not much more to it than that. probably try to get your app reviewed on the weekends vs weekdays

O, usted eres el creador de hispano bot. Este mes me di cuenta que hay muchos hispanos aqui y muchos son developers. πŸ™Œ #hispano πŸ‡©πŸ‡΄