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Paul Graham / @paulg (RSS Feed)
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Twitter feed for: @paulg. Generated by nitter.moomoo.me https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg

**RT @cremieuxrecueil:**

Opinion polling is strongly affected by how you ask the questions

In 2012, a series of polls asked people if they wanted to increase taxes on the rich

Most said yes!

Then another poll asked people to set a specific top tax rate

Most unwittingly selected to lower top tax rates

https://nitter.moomoo.me/cremieuxrecueil/status/1660787608065114114#m

**RT @Altimor:**

Pains me to say this, but even I have changed my stance on remote.

We tried hard, developed the best tooling allowed by the tech — and still, remote falls very short of colocation, especially for startups that are still pre-product market fit.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/Altimor/status/1660718458152304640#m

**RT @emollick:**

“...class attendance \[is\] a better predictor of college grades than any other known predictor of academic performance, including scores on standardized admissions tests such as the SAT, high school GPA, study habits & study skills"

Details in this paper: fyp.utk.edu/wp-content/uploa… (https://fyp.utk.edu/wp-content/uploads/sites/31/2013/08/Crede-et-al-2010-on-class-attendance.pdf)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/emollick/status/1660689315159068673#m

**RT @SteveStuWill:**

Why you should (almost) never believe single medical studies vox.com/2015/3/23/8264355/re… (https://www.vox.com/2015/3/23/8264355/research-study-hype)

"\[W\]hat makes it news is that it's new – and that creates a bias in the media to look for brand new results. My view would be that brand new results would be the most likely to be wrong."

https://nitter.moomoo.me/SteveStuWill/status/1660434339501604865#m

**Response to @paulg:**

This was clarified for me by this metaphor of Eliezer Yudkowsky's:

nitter.moomoo.me/ESYudkowsky/status/1660399502266871809#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/ESYudkowsky/status/1660399502266871809#m)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg/status/1660404826474262529#m

Few things are harder to predict than the ways in which someone much smarter than you might outsmart you.

That's the reason I worry about AI. Not just the problem itself, but the meta-problem that the ways the problem might play out are inherently hard to predict.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg/status/1660404244174782464#m

**RT @adamdangelo:**

I expect we will see continual progress from here to AGI, without any period that feels like a "winter". There are just too many obvious things left to be done. And the underlying exponential growth in compute has a very long way to go.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/adamdangelo/status/1660391688047857664#m

**RT @pitdesi:**

Investigative journalism was amazing back when newspapers made 💰

In 1977, the Chicago Sun-Times bought & ran a bar to expose corruption prevalent in Chicago.

It was impactful, exposing $16M in tax fraud & led to the firing & indictment of 30+ employees

topic.com/the-story-behind-t… (https://www.topic.com/the-story-behind-the-chicago-newspaper-that-bought-a-bar)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/pic/card_img%2F1659978532116627458%2FjJYucMGu%3Fformat%3Djpg%26name%3D800x419

https://nitter.moomoo.me/pitdesi/status/1660309350504861704#m

My whole adult life has been a search for quiet. I've had 3 different buildings soundproofed. I can continue working on something in a noisy place, but to \*start\* working on something I need quiet.

nitter.moomoo.me/emollick/status/1660093233181933568#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/emollick/status/1660093233181933568#m)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg/status/1660204056244105217#m

**RT @Rainmaker1973:**

The interesting pattern created by the tangent lines to sine function

\[source: bit.ly/2uU2jd7 (https://bit.ly/2uU2jd7)\]

https://nitter.moomoo.me/Rainmaker1973/status/1660193655750098946#m

**RT @dadiomov:**

The Economist has a special report on payments this week. It outlines three separate payment systems in competition:

\- Western networks: banks, Visa/MC, SWIFT

\- Closed apps: AliPay/WeChat

\- National schemes that connect: UPI

Truly a new era of payments.

economist.com/special-report… (https://www.economist.com/special-report/2023/05/15/as-payments-systems-go-digital-they-are-changing-global-finance)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/pic/card_img%2F1660603046533922817%2FfieaF63L%3Fformat%3Djpg%26name%3D800x419

https://nitter.moomoo.me/dadiomov/status/1660078978223448065#m

**RT @dadiomov:**

The Economist has a special report on payments this week. It outlines three separate payment systems in competition:

\- Western networks: banks, Visa/MC, SWIFT

\- Closed apps: AliPay/WeChat

\- National schemes that connect: UPI

Truly a new era of payments.

economist.com/special-report… (https://www.economist.com/special-report/2023/05/15/as-payments-systems-go-digital-they-are-changing-global-finance)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/pic/card_img%2F1658066246368210949%2Fatk0QIjc%3Fformat%3Djpg%26name%3D800x419

https://nitter.moomoo.me/dadiomov/status/1660078978223448065#m

**RT @amasad:**

We’re building a world class AI team. Announcements coming soon.

nitter.moomoo.me/jeremyopendata/status/1660018063524102144#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/jeremyopendata/status/1660018063524102144#m)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/amasad/status/1660019786460573696#m

Someone asked me what was the most luck-dependent thing in startups. I replied: whether you're suited for it. Only a tiny fraction of people are.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg/status/1659812899160727553#m

**RT @Noahpinion:**

"After accounting for indirect taxes and in-kind transfers, the US redistributes a greater share of national income to low-income groups than any European country."

aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.12… (https://www.aeaweb.org/articles?id=10.1257/app.20200703)

https://nitter.moomoo.me/pic/card_img%2F1659112990677794816%2FPPrJnIB2%3Fformat%3Dpng%26name%3D420x420_2

https://nitter.moomoo.me/Noahpinion/status/1659619131946315776#m

The Bay Area has almost 7x as much VC investment as the second biggest US startup hub, NYC.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/paulg/status/1659475589672173569#m