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therationalroot
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#Bitcoin on-chain & cycle analysis. Signal only. Follow the carrot down the rabbit hole.

On-chain value map. #Bitcoin

One godly candle and sentiment through the roof.

A reminder that on-chain demand still remains low, as is normal in this phase of the cycle, but perhaps a reason to temper your expectations.

310 days until the Halving! #Bitcoin

Halving progress 78%. #Bitcoin

320 days until the Halving. #Bitcoin 🧵

You need to increase your after-tax cash flow by over 7.1% a year just to keep up with average US Dollar inflation.

Investing in S&P 500 only gives an annual 2.7% real return after adjusting for US Dollar inflation. There is obviously a lot of risk involved to pursue that 2.7%.

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https://www.bitcoinstrategyplatform.com/

News events might make you feel like "this is going nowhere". Don't get distracted, focus on the bigger picture. #Bitcoin

While the bounce in price was a strong sign, news developments, on-chain demand levels and macro circumstances remain rather bearish. Also if we continue a bullish trend now, it wouldn't be surprising to see #Bitcoin fall below for a brief period before reaching the next halving.

After yesterday’s spike to 25.3k we bounced right back above the STH cost basis. While we currently remain above it — which is necessary for sustaining a bullish trend— the truth is that in this phase of the cycle we also have seen #Bitcoin fall below for a brief period.

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Follow-up on:

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#Bitcoin finding support on the Short-Term Holder cost basis.

Discussing current conditions & near-term forecast. #Bitcoin

👇

https://www.bitcoinstrategyplatform.com/news/bitcoin-price-forecast

Unfortunately global liquidity isn't the most favorable yet. #Bitcoin

Halving progress 77%. #Bitcoin

#Bitcoin and #SPX keep moving in tandem.

(charts 🧵)