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Nassim Nicholas Taleb / @nntaleb (RSS Feed)
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Twitter feed for: @nntaleb. Generated by nitter.moomoo.me https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb

We knew @Snowden was a despicable individual of v. low intellect.

He is body shaming the fellow ONLY because he has no argument. Transactions in crypto are limited to circular trading by cryptoheads (financial onanism) & some unskilled money laudere…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1630386932566958081#m

**Response to @nntaleb:**

2) I systematically block idiots who try to use statistics for racial discrimination thinking it is a "scientific" approach.

I also autoblock ~ALL their friends.

The most salient characteristic of a person is their skin co…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1630205740525793280#m

Friends, is the olive oil restriction observed *in practice* in all Greek Orthodox communities? Some say the prohibition is Attic and only applies to oil stored in sheep's skin.

Same for wine.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1630178772128235522#m

Berkson's Paradox: the video.

I apologize to those who will complain about video quality (or other stuff lacking substance) as they will be blocked.

nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629948038264365057#m

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629973026581225475#m

**Response to @nntaleb:**

Here is the article but the authors did not understand that ∆ is more informative than raw information because fewer biases in the multivariate adjustment.

ahajournals.org/doi/full/10.…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629479711020576768#m

A massive prospective study, n>100K, 30y span, just out in Circulation.

Asserts dose-dependent benefits of exercise, but also a DIFFERENCE between vigorous & moderate.

Statistical biases wash out on ∆ by 1 order of magnitude.

Looks like one can in…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629475264135659522#m

PROBABILITY DU JOUR: Berkson's paradox

If you remove the 3rd quadrant for uncorrelated variables, the total correlation appears to be negative.

Explains the illusion that good looking people are less intelligent, etc.

nitter.moomoo.me/AllenDowney/st…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629295863154573313#m

The mini lecture on heredity and conditional correlation.

Sorry previous upload did not work.

piped.moomoo.me/watch?v=azdJAHF2…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629273680302710787#m

**Response to @nntaleb:**

The full thread is here

nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1628077598940045312#m

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629219179411787781#m

MINI LECTURE 15 - Conditional vs. unconditional correlation: twin studies overestimate heredity piped.moomoo.me/oge8NI3mCTc

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629216917062881282#m

Saar badda federaliyyé.

Lear to cut your losses. 20%.

Christian groups respond to Mikati’s comments on proportion of Christians in the country today.lorientlejour.com/arti… via @LOrientToday nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/162…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629150588335230980#m

Saar badda federaliyyé.

Christian groups respond to Mikati’s comments on proportion of Christians in the country today.lorientlejour.com/arti… via @LOrientToday

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629146177621860353#m

The connection between 1) Private Equity, 2) High Leverage, 3) "self inflicted gunshot" (if true), and a 4½% increase in interest rates might not be entirely random.

Many of these fortunes made over the past 15 years are sitting on dynamite.

nitt…

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1629113777529532416#m

Heredity studies: how they overestimate heredity. An explanation of the math for the difference between conditional and unconditional correlation.

https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1628077598940045312#m