**Response to @nntaleb:**
That idiot too:
nitter.moomoo.me/BritishHodl/status/1645568696784654337#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/BritishHodl/status/1645568696784654337#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645691976094720000#m
What bitdiots share with antivaxxers and Covidopaths like peabrain @coryklippsten (https://nitter.moomoo.me/coryklippsten) is that they don't know the passage of time exits.
My short bitcoin was from mid 2021 to late 2022.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645683565084942339#m
Syrian truffles: the best export from Syria since Steve Jobs.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645496733567262730#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
Correction: under Mehmet Ali's dynasty (Ibrahim Pasha)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645400744420311041#m
What I liked about GPT-4 is that its bullshit is self correcting while that of intellectuals is largely impervious to information.
But it remains closer to an academic psychologist, sociologist, English professor, think tank "analyst", politician, etc. than to a mathematician.
nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645213047185702912#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645213047185702912#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645371173062991879#m
CARDIOLOGY RISK DUJOUR
LDL in preindustrial population seems to be ~85-104, yet some are pushing for <40.
Studies show a lowering of mortality for populations w/risk factors, but to be rigorous one needs to show the effect of lowering on preindustr. populations!
#CardioTwitter (https://nitter.moomoo.me/search?q=%23CardioTwitter)nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/164… (https://nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/1645370814173200385)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645370814173200385#m
**RT @GeorgeJNasr:**
The mechanisms of #DutchDisease (https://nitter.moomoo.me/search?q=%23DutchDisease): can there be too much of a good thing?
piped.kavin.rocks/IAkm-fm0Dq0 (https://piped.kavin.rocks/IAkm-fm0Dq0)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/GeorgeJNasr/status/1645351098297843712#m
Sounds familiar?
"(...) that the people of Amioun \[spelled Ameun\] were notoriously the most obstinate of all the mountain tribes, so much so, that a proverb existed, that it took a sharp axe to split the skull of an Amiouni".
Memoirs of Antonius Amieuney, 1860
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645343465000128513#m
Mistakes made by ChatGPT in fields I know well (and insights on the way it bullshits) actually made me gain respect for ChatGPT and lose respect for intellectuals.
For I now can see more clearly what I dislike about people I dislike. nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/164… (https://nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/1645213047185702912)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1645213047185702912#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
\[FootNote: Easter is next week for us. Westerners are always on a hurry: the Western Church celebrates today.\]
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644999380074737664#m
Sounds like a long speech by a putz begging his wife to not leave him. The longer the list the more likely she will leave him.
nitter.moomoo.me/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1644669039095037953#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/MedvedevRussiaE/status/1644669039095037953#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644991714497527809#m
GPT4 is repeating 2nd hand material abt "Statistical Consequences of Fat Tails" w/o knowing what the book is about. It is not about Fat Tails but CONSEQUENCES on stat methods, the law of large (medium) numbers, & decisions under uncertainty.
Also makes economists' elementary… nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/164… (https://nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/1644951608726355968)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644951608726355968#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
Note 1 to nitpickers: Yes, FC reserves include precious metals.
Note 2: I block nitpickers.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644946473778311168#m
This friend of mine may become the central banker in a very complicated country w/a nonreserve currency. Simple heuristic:
Make sure foreign currency reserves are always up year on year and, Volker-like, ignore wailing politicians & the press.
The rest is a detail.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644938438603333635#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
3) Background: Norman is responding to my statements that a large sample size can reveal the risks of vaccines. To be precise.
nitter.moomoo.me/GuyInSF2/status/1644606821221679105#m (https://nitter.moomoo.me/GuyInSF2/status/1644606821221679105#m)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644636789133529089#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
2) It is just that a Poisson process with memory will no longer have an exponential interarrival time, the so-called "memoryless". So the rate of mutations would accelerate or decelerate pending on the "memory" structure.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644608554207199235#m
I was asked to answer the nonsense below. It is mathematically incorrect.
Any process "with memory", if it has ANY variance, must show early in SOME samples. When the sample becomes very large you see the tails, 1/n.
Beware verbalisms by people who bullshit for a living.
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644604880642793473#m
**Response to @nntaleb:**
Just as a French-Speaking Vaudois has been free to not identify as French,
a Maghrebi Arabic-speaking Maltese was free to not identify as Arab,
a Serbo-Croatian speaking Serb free to not identify as Yugoslav,
a Russian-speaking UKRAINIAN should be free to not identify as… nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/164… (https://nitter.moomoo.me/i/web/status/1644447563859230720)
https://nitter.moomoo.me/nntaleb/status/1644447563859230720#m
