For hypotheses about “some completely novel thing,” it’s usually the case that there’s an existing narrative about what that thing would be like were it to exist.
Observations are then cherry-picked that seem to support the existence of that expected thing.
But because the thing doesn’t actually exist, the data are at best highly ambiguous, unclear, ambiguous.
For example, the thing might be
- Big Foot
- UFOs
- Covid
- Climate change
All have the hallmarks of this. We find the “data” backing exactly what we expect such a non-existent thing to be like, and the data are inherently poor.
Cultures seem to select for the constant acquisition of “evidence” for such chimeras.
How did Covid jump from northern Italy to NYC but not to southern Italy?
My appearance on Doc Malik's show, where I give a master class on what the hell happened to us during the Great Covid Debacle.
Muslims, Arabs, Persians, Christians, and Jews are victims, all of them, of radical Islamism.
Only the morally stupid find themselves defending it.
The varieties of pandemic preparedness plans amounted to springs set to activate and “help” if there was a pandemic.
To the extent those plans were followed, they obliterated civil liberties and had massive harms.
But in most cases governments reacted with interventions going far BEYOND even those hubristic pandemic plans.
And — this is not often discussed — the existence of those plans almost surely contributed to the illusion of a pandemic. Just as hammers see nails everywhere, the infrastructures constructed to save us if there ever were a pandemic are disproportionately likely to suffer from an illusion of a pandemic. They want to save us. And they certainly don’t want to be remembered for NOT saving us when they were charged with that righteous task.
So…
Plandemic preparedness plans, if they are to exist at all, must
(1) be steeped in the complex cost-benefit trade-offs of living and breathing societies,
(2) possess an overarching humility about their ability to possibly master plan anything
(3) not violate civil liberties [THIS is the most important of all]
(4) learn that the dangers from mass hysteria and social division — such as targeting the evil unclean out group — can be much more severe than the dangers from the emergency itself
(5) realize that they themselves are uniquely biased in their ability to recognize whether or not a pandemic (or any emergency) is actually occurring.
The folks involved in such “emergency planning” infrastructure are, however, invariably far Left, have the hubris that they can master plan economies and the truth, don’t view civil liberties as a constraint, have childish models of how society will respond to their policies, and have zero insight into the bias peculiar to their situation.
hello world