STH cost basis at $99k. #Bitcoin

FUN FACT: Ethereum is down 74% against Bitcoin since switching from PoW to PoS in 2022.

⚡️👀 NEWS - Polymarket says there’s only a 9% chance #Bitcoin hits $250,000 by the end of 2025.

GM.

Although I have been thoroughly enjoying my break from social media, I thought I would post a quick update on the #Bitcoin magical line chart.

OPINION:

#bitcoin, as priced in US dollars, continues to show remarkable strength during this *anticipated* period of consolidation since its 20-Jan-2025 high.

As the green line shows, we continue to see a series of higher lows IN SPITE OF EXTREME MARKET UNCERTAINTY AND FEAR.

This is exceedingly bullish behavior.

Could the price break down temporarily to the $70k-75k range?

Of course.

But I would view this as an incredible short-term buying opportunity... and, importantly, I am not expecting this to happen.

Based on M2 global liquidity and sharp movements in the US dollar, I still anticipate new all-time highs for bitcoin sometime between mid-May and mid-June 2025.

Could I be wrong?

Of course. But this remains my highest probability expectation, even (and especially) IN SPITE OF EXTREME MARKET UNCERTAINTY AND FEAR.

I hope this commentary helps.

Back to my break from social media.

Onward and upward.

Had an interesting interaction with a cashier today.

This young man in his 20s was ringing people up. His voice and mannerisms were basically like Napoleon Dynamite.

In front of me, the customer said “thank you, have a good day” and he said back “that would be impossible, but you have a good day ma’am.” I was only half paying attention so I assumed I misheard.

He then rang my products up as I focused on packing my bags. I pay and say basically “thanks, have a good day”. He says, “that would be impossible ma’am, but you have a good day.”

I paused, hearing the repeated statement. He started scanning the next customer’s items. Part of me wanted to ask why it’s impossible to have a nice day. It’s so specific. But doing so would interrupt his focus on the next customer. I took my bags, walked out, and looked back a couple times.

In hindsight, I wish I’d asked. That would be more important than risking the next customer’s checkout time by a couple minutes.

Next time I’m at the supermarket, I’m going to do a scan of the cashiers to see if he’s among them.

Cashu is coming to ZEUS.

seems bitcoin twitter could have used another 400 days of me telling them to stay humble and stack sats every morning

Tell me some useful information and I’ll zap you 615 sats.

I’ll determine if it’s useful or not lol 😂

Make America Butter Again!!!

MABA

BREAKING: After selling 50k #Bitcoin at the bottom last year, the new German coalition now plans to scrap the one-year tax-free rule.

#Bitcoin gains to be hit with 30% flat capital tax under proposal.

Elect clowns, expect a circus. 🤡

It's interesting how the support line (in log scale) for previous epochs kinda aligns with the all time high in the next epoch. Probably nothing.