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Peter du Toit
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I speak about climate futures, mitigation and adaptation in the face of the climate crisis. 🇿🇦

The heating ocean and melting ice, a hallmark of the evolving climate crisis, are causing seas to rise. (Global average sea level has risen 21–24 centimeters since 1880. In 2021, global sea level set a new record high—97 mm (3.8 inches) above 1993 levels.)

There are many places where retreat is the becoming the only option, one of these places is Khun Samut Chin, just outside of Bangkok.

Here 1.1km to 2km of land has already been swallowed by the sea.

More here: https://www.theguardian.com/environment/2023/jul/01/just-four-pupils-left-how-the-sea-rose-up-on-a-thai-village

#ClimateCrisis #SeaLevelRise #Thailand https://nostr.build/i/0707a421842b18f83fd77d3649f34ea71f4d3452fb70dc94e6beadcaa5be2a09.webp

How do we know that the #ElNino phase has arrived?

We use our instruments:

“Satellite- and ocean-based measurements of sea surface temperature are one way to detect the arrival of El Niño. Its signature also shows up in satellite measurements of sea surface height, which rises as ocean temperatures warm up. That’s because warmer water expands to fill more volume, while cooler water contracts.

The [image] depicts sea surface height anomalies across the central and eastern Pacific Ocean as observed from June 1–10, 2023. Shades of blue indicate sea levels that were lower than average; normal sea level conditions appear white; and reds indicate areas where the ocean stood higher than normal.”

https://earthobservatory.nasa.gov/images/151481/el-nino-returns

The Texas heatwave as observed by NASA satellites.

CO2 424 ppm

+1.27°C above preindustrial

Source: https://eyes.nasa.gov/apps/earth/#/vitalsign?vitalsign=air_temperature&altid=0&animating=f&start=&end=#heatwave

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Texas

More than 40 million people in the US are currently under a heat alert and on some places the infrastructure is beginning to fail.

#Texas #Heatwave

https://www.theguardian.com/us-news/2023/jun/24/texas-heatwave-high-temperatures-power

Hey that looks like a tracker he is wearing?

You will notice in the text it makes reference to “Japan” this is a browser translation error. Here is the original text from the website:

市气象台2023年6月23日07时00分升级发布高温红色预警信号:预计,6月23日至25日本市高温天气仍将持续,大部分地区最高气温可达37~40℃,请注意防范。(预警信息来源:国家预警信息发布中心

Today the Beijing Meteorological Bureau upgraded the city to a level red warning, the highest heatwave warning, as temperatures soared to just above 41°C

Beijing is home to 22 million people, who were urged to take emergency measures to prevent heatstroke. Stop outdoor work in the open air. Take protective measures for the elderly, the weak, the sick and the young and pay special attention to fire prevention.

Source: https://weather.cma.cn/web/alarm/11000041600000_20230623070925.html

#ClimateCrisis #Heatwave #Beijing

⚠️ Early Warning — Dangerous Wet Bulb Temperatures forecast for parts of Texas on Friday.

Reminder: The actual max wet-bulb temp is lower than 35°C — about 31°C wet-bulb or 87°F at 100% humidity — even for young, healthy individuals. For older populations, who are more vulnerable to heat, it’s likely even lower. (See https://journals.physiology.org/doi/full/10.1152/japplphysiol.00738.2021)

Wet-bulb advisory: https://digital.mdl.nws.noaa.gov/?zoom=4&lat=37&lon=-96.5&layers=F000BTTTFTT&region=0&element=8&mxmz=false&barbs=false&subl=TFFFFF&units=english&wunits=nautical&coords=latlon&tunits=localt

#WetBulbTemperature #Texas #Heatwave #ClimateCrisis

South Africa has warmed +1.6ºC since 1881 and we are are on course to reach +4.4ºC of heating by 2100.

#ClimateLiteracy #ShowYourStripes #SouthAfrica

Mexico is going through some things.

#Heatwave nostr:note1w90v4ceg6jl2le704tgn034ytggg5yescc80srw330sh0h5ta7dqcf9x6z

⚠️ Early Warning

Today BoM (Australia) released their June El Niño outlook. Take look at their Nino 3.4 probabilities for Sept-Oct-Nov.

Compare this to the top 8 El Niño’s since 1950 - we have never exceeded +3.0°C for Nino 3.4 😳

If this transpires 🌡️ in 2024 are going to be 🔥

BoM: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/model-summary/#tabs=Bureau-model&region=NINO34

NOAA: https://psl.noaa.gov/enso/dashboard.html

#ClimateCrisis #ElNino #EarlyWarnings

Did you know?

(Read more in the just released “State of the Climate in Europe 2022” https://library.wmo.int/doc_num.php?explnum_id=11659)

#ClimateLiteracy #Europe