Nostr Web Client

VINNY

f06d36eff810bc8b30252c3bac6fcf5081d53bdaea2f9589657de1220fbe29fc

nostr:npub1qny3tkh0acurzla8x3zy4nhrjz5zd8l9sy9jys09umwng00manysew95gx THE SATS WILL BE STACKED UNTIL MAIN STREET MORAL IMPROVES

Replying to nicodemus

I don’t get these takes. Bitcoin is and always will be tied to economy. If the stock market drops by 60%, it means there is economic distress. This means selling of bitcoin for USD. Bitcoin will go down. People will exchange at least some of their savings in btc for survival.

The same argument (low supply on exchanges) for the price rapidly going up is also the same argument for why it can go down in just as rapid of a fashion.

Until we live in a btc-denominated global economy, this is the way it is.

I am fighting for that future but it is not here, yet. Its fun to dream, but people also need to be real about this.

What exactly is “economy” at the end of a credit cycle though? When the house of cards starts to topple value seeks solid ground. Don’t confuse volatility for lack of stability in a long term view

nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy hypothetical (based on musings by Dave Collum)

Inflation and end of credit cycle squash equity valuations back to historical trend and briefly below in the 2030s

All the financial engineering such as indices, buybacks etc fail to attract enough capital to sustain monster valuations. NVDA etc crash back to reasonable P/E.

Can you imagine how much salt there will be with BTC $2M S&P $2000

A 60/40 portfolio would go down by 30-40% nominally. Like 65% in real terms.

That’s the end of the road for retirement.

However a 50/40/10 (10% BTC) would actually hold up in real terms if BTC goes to $1M+

Message to 401k holders is you NEED to allocate to BTC below $100k or it might be actually too late

nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy hypothetical (based on musings by Dave Collum)

Inflation and end of credit cycle squash equity valuations back to historical trend and briefly below in the 2030s

All the financial engineering such as indices, buybacks etc fail to attract enough capital to sustain monster valuations. NVDA etc crash back to reasonable P/E.

Can you imagine how much salt there will be with BTC $2M S&P $2000

Proof of hands

Doxxed

Almost all of finance/investing can be summed up as shorting abundant things and going long scarce things.

And yet, many people spend the vast majority of their effort trying to go long abundant things and short scarce things precisely during the 10% of the time when that works, instead of going to therapy or something.

So the long USD short digital scarcity trade prob not a good one lol

https://m.primal.net/HrUj.mp4

The bull market vibes on RHR are so fire rn nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy

GM

GM

🚨BREAKING: it’s all made up

good morning

Good morning Jack

DETERMINISTIC OPTIMISM 🌞

GM 🫡

GM SIR

Nostr started and everyone was so nice. Now the hate is starting to come out lmao.

We need more sovereign agents of disruption like yourself to keep the ecosystem in balance

One good take (ETFs being approved/material) which I also got right is not enough to listen to his trash takes. Sounds vaxed

He got annoying really fast then started shitcoining fake L2’s. Also just a miserable seeming rich homo

GOOD MORNING NOSTR, STAY HUMBLE AND STACK SATS 🫡

GM MATT. A COUPLE MIL SATS FROM A MAJOR STACKING GOAL

My tweets would be shocking on bt after 18 months away lol . New crowd

Lol dude you gotta try it out it will be epic

nostr:npub1guh5grefa7vkay4ps6udxg8lrqxg2kgr3qh9n4gduxut64nfxq0q9y6hjy woah big guy wanna zap a few of those ZeroHedge sats

There are dark money zap pools trying to control the narrative. Very shady people. Be aware!

Sir have you considered steel?

Mark Zuckerberg

First post in the fediverse! 👋

Fuck off mark

GOOD MORNING NOSTR, YOU DO NOT NEED TWITTER OR OTHER SLAVE TECH TO LIVE A FULFILLED LIFE.

OPT OUT. 🫡

GM MATT LETS WRECK SOME CONGRESSMEN SUITS TODAY

Ops capitulating today . Bye losers

Ppl forget bull market bounces are fast

Huh 🧐

"Price anchoring, also known as anchoring bias, is a psychological trick that can influence how people perceive the value of something, including Bitcoin. Here's how it works with Bitcoin:

* **Initial Information as an Anchor:** Imagine someone encountering Bitcoin early on, when its price was much lower than today. That initial price becomes an "anchor" in their mind, a reference point for future valuation.

* **Impact on Decisions:** Even if the price of Bitcoin fluctuates significantly, they might hold onto the initial price as a benchmark. This can lead to:

* **Buying When Price Seems Low:** If the price dips below the remembered anchor (e.g., someone who bought at $10,000 might see $8,000 as a bargain).

* **Hesitation to Buy When Above Anchor:** Conversely, if the price shoots way up, they might hesitate to buy because it seems expensive compared to the anchor price.

**Bitcoin's Volatile Nature and Anchoring:**

Bitcoin's price swings can be dramatic. Anchoring bias can be particularly strong in such a volatile market because:

* **Rapid Changes Create Anchors:** Frequent price movements can create multiple "anchors" for investors, depending on when they entered the market.

* **External Influences:** Media reports or social media discussions about past highs (or lows) can reinforce the anchoring effect.

**Remember:**

* Price anchoring is a mental shortcut, not a reflection of true value.

* Bitcoin's price is influenced by various factors, not just past performance.

By understanding anchoring bias, you can be a more informed Bitcoin investor, making decisions based on current market conditions and not solely on past price points."

nostr:nevent1qqs9lwja4n84nc6y6svv3ggq03wukas758rac4t93qse25dg8lqad3cpp4mhxue69uhkummn9ekx7mqzypan77qrw5r5daz4gyazy8uqje0wed577vy096k3m2yuctyfzt5ksqcyqqqqqqg8dvtme

Clean breakouts of prior range tend to shift this, but agree that unit bias is sometimes the blockage for new retail level buyers. They often don’t even realize you can convert smaller amounts of fiat

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