One way to keep up with what is happening is to watch the news. But governments control their populations this way, so while you will hear about many things, you will not hear about others, and you will be given politically-correct programming.

Ground news tries to show you which news sources are left and right, and fill in your blind spots.

Alternative news gives you stories you don't see elsewhere: greyzone, revolver, people on substack, youtube and rumble videos, etc.

But people lie and exaggerate for many reasons. They may say something is true because they wish it was so ("Ukraine is winning" or "Russia is stronger now"). They may express certainty for multiple propositions, when in reality they are far less certain about one of them.

You could have a show where people are required to not just express their views, but also give a confidence level. But they still would lie and exaggerate.

You could make them put money on the table. Then they will be less prone to lying and exaggeration.

Betting markets do this already. What is true, what confidence level do you have, and also people must put skin in the game. But they are more about events that have not transpired yet. But hell... those are even more interesting than what already happened.

It would be awesome if there were betting markets about past events, including recent newsworthy ones. If that existed I would read that to get my news. The obvious problem here is adjudicating and settling the bets. Maybe the winner is whatever the majority believes 3 years hence. People who bet COVID came from a lab would be paid out already. People who bet against Russiagate too.

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bitcoin is a betting market on whether people in the future will believe that bitcoin is money

I clicked the wrong emoji. But whatever I guess the thinking man works too.

My recipe almost works

Don’t watch the news

Except I wouldn’t know now if the war broke off on my streets unless I read it on #nostr

This is super interesting. There would have to be some kind of way to leave things undetermined too I suppose, like where is Jimmy Hoffa?

… or for events to become legend or myth, like King Arthur.

Have you tried doing this on polymarket?

The world isn't as interesting as your life