Replying to Avatar hodlbod

Ever since I started working on the problem of alternative/decentralized social media I've said that "it's a 10 year project with a 0% chance of success". I'm stunned with how well nostr has gone over the last 3 years, and I think we have already achieved some measure of success (though global adoption still remains pretty unlikely in my book).

If you're feeling discouraged with engagement on nostr, user growth, client UX, business model profitability, developer funding models, or protocol stability, just remember how early we are. Very few new businesses reach profitability; protocols are even less likely than that to reach widespread adoption. Nostr's success is far from certain but it's worth investing in anyway. It's an incredibly ambitious project, and requires that we lower our time preference.

nostr:nevent1qvzqqqqqqypzp978pfzrv6n9xhq5tvenl9e74pklmskh4xw6vxxyp3j8qkke3cezqy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq32amnwvaz7tmjv4kxz7fwv3sk6atn9e5k7tcpr9mhxue69uhkscnj9e3k7unpvdkx2tnnda3kjctv9uqzq7rj27teyddj34xpngwpplzepcx90d7atd2c426etrw73306kczlmfkhtk

nostr:nprofile1qyg8wumn8ghj7mn09eehgu3wvdez7qgswaehxw309ahx7um5wghx6mmd9uqsuamnwvaz7tmwdaejumr0dshsz9thwden5te0wfjkccte9ejxzmt4wvhxjme0qy2hwumn8ghj7mn0wd68ytn00p68ytnyv4mz7qpqqsu8mh3sr48qph0dsv5tmvgy8099m9ud4f7prg8uyely7nlvwczsnnzzk2 nostr:nprofile1qy88wumn8ghj7mn0wvhxcmmv9uq37amnwvaz7tmwdaehgu3dwfjkccte9ejx2un9ddex7umn9ekk2tcpz9mhxue69uhkummnw3ezuamfdejj7qghwaehxw309aex2mrp0yhxummnw3ezucnpdejz7qgnwaehxw309amk7apww468smewdahx2tcqyqlhwrt96wnkf2w9edgr4cfruchvwkv26q6asdhz4qg08pm6w3djg9tx6g8 nostr:nprofile1qydhwumn8ghj7un9d3shjtnhv4ehgetjde38gcewvdhk6tcpzemhxue69uhhwmm59ehx7um5wgh8qctjw3uj7qghwaehxw309aek2ctjvd5zumn0wvh8gmmyv9uj7qghwaehxw309amxjar0wghxummnw3erztnrdakj7qg4waehxw309aex2mrp0yhxgctdw4eju6t09uqzpkkwvwcqcshxuqtaqrw3jz5n9quxqqhlt9acg844a7gauncuapy3qrg4yx

I'm a big believer that the most decentralized tech wins in the long run. Nostr feels very much like early Bitcoin.

Bitcoin still has yet to make a significant dent in Fiat, mainly because of network effects of the latter, but has steadily progressed in the past 10+ years, accumulating value the entire time.

I think Nostr is on the same trajectory... Including the "value" part, which will accrue directly in the form of zaps, something no other competitor has.

My prediction: Nostr will provide lots of people with a comfortable revenue stream long before "global" adoption takes place.

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Agreed