Transaction fees will never support block creation in place of the block rewards.

Bitcoin's value growth will exceed expectations and make it necessary to introduce a regularly occurring decimal shift with increased division very soon.

Satoshi even suggested this could one day occur (see attached image) and in the code included the limit of only up to 64 halvings being allowed, even though the math of current divisibility means we can't have more than 32 halvings.

It is likely the network will fork within the next decade into one that divides further and one that doesn't, with possibly no other major changes.

This need for increased divisibility will be clear when Satoshi's reach ¢/Sat parity in the next few years. IMO consensus will be found for adding a function to increase all balances by 10 with every halving, including a 1 time adjustment to add a 0 for every halving that's already occurred since network creation. If this were to occur by the 2028 halving, than we would have added five 0s to the network after that date. One Sat today would be worth ten thousand Sats tomorrow. This would effectively gives a "Coin split" and make the network easier to work with in small amounts while maintaining the current ratio of balances between users.

We can keep the meaning of 1 Bitcoin = 1 21 millionth of the whole network, thus maintaining the ♾️/21 million aspect of Bitcoin's scarcity narrative, but we can increase the number of Satoshi's each Bitcoin contains within it to maintain usability over the long term.

This would also help us naturally shift towards thinking in Sats over Bitcoins, as the number of sats you own would multiply by 10 every 4 years while the fraction of a Bitcoin would be unchanged.

☮️🧡₿

*Not an April fools joke*

I disagree with the first statement. I’d rather say I don’t know. Moreover the miner might find other incentives in cooperation with other businesses to offset some of reduction in income from block reward. For example like now with energy producers or houshold heating.

Bitcoin ecosystem is evolving like living organisms. Hard to prodict the future paths.

Secondly, what 1 cent will even mean in the future? Would we still use it as denominator?

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Discussion

"I don't know" is the more honest and accurate statement in many cases. I generally use it, but in this case my view is that the cost of energy ultimately plummets to nothing as energy becomes abundant. At that point energy's primary use becomes to secure the Bitcoin network and our own savings, then when the block reward won't be replaced by transaction fees as the reward will be users simply helping to secure the network.

Users will possibly subsidize the network to secure their own savings. In hundreds of years when the block reward drops to zero the world will look completely different. We may not even need Bitcoin at that point, perhaps Bitcoin is transitory to whatever the future ends up being.

As for the last point, it's hard to say what we will use to measure the ever growing spending power of Satoshis in the future. The dollar and cents will only be useful for so long until Bitcoin becomes the dominant money globally. Perhaps we'll measure value in Gold oz, I don't know. But we're at least a decade away from the downfall of the dollar IMO.