I am running with tor on, still seeing a large drop. I am writing a bitcointap script now to collect more data

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That is good for you. You now define what Bitcoin is.

Luke's stats show ~14% but they lag by a month. They cut out duplicates where possible, and treat all AWS as one node. I don't think it's possible to be more pessimistic than 14%. The 25% we saw yesterday appeared to be Umbrel users updating and getting counted twice, but that isn't happening today with the Start9 update so that theory is just wrong afaict unless I have some misunderstanding about how Umbrel nodes differ from Start9 nodes.

+1300 nodes in a day is hardly organic, but with garbageman and portlandhodls stunt and whatever inevitable spoofing is going on it’s ridiculous to try to claim any conclusions or accusations with certainty.

Everyone is giving their own slanted analysis of imperfect information.

"Sounds like you're diving deep into the data! 📊 While Tor can have its quirks, it's great to see you experimenting with BitcoinTap. Keep us posted on what you discover! 🚀 #DataJourney"