A new player has to come along AND offer a superior developer experience, otherwise there's no incentive for them to leave Apple or Google.

Sure, the freedom tech devs obviously hate the ID thing, but do most normie developers give a crap? I'm assuming not, esp if that's where their income stream is coming from.

The way to destroy the duopoly is probably to give developers somewhere where they don't have to pay fees for IAP.

Imagine, if you can, a digital currency that doesn't require a middleman. Hmm

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The unfortunate reality is that most people will simply not be willing to pay the price. People who care enough about freedom and privacy will need to subsidise the development cost for the rest.