Assuming this is based on tracked addresses, a whale address would be an address connected to a certain a amount of bitcoin? The question is, how do we know these addresses do not belong to groups (exchange, etf etc)? This message implies there are lone buyers buying a lot, while it could also mean groups of people are buying. That would be a very different (more positive) dynamic to me.

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we don't know. listen to arguably the best onchain analyst out there (checkmate) and he always says stop citing these "whales bought, whales sold" type things, they're almost always wrong.

That does not surprise me. Thanks!

Is checkmate on nostr?