Seems more likely that 'Bitcoin is dead unless we do this' being his opinion is behind it.
I hope when this blows over he gets a retreat or something. I love what he's done with Knots and Ocean but this BIP looks like a psychotic break.

So why did Luke Dashjr say "Hashrate is irrelevant at this point"?
I won't pretend to know what his opinion is, I'll just give you mine.
1) Mining isn't decentralized — pools are (allegedly, not really).
Why are pools not decentralized? Because the interests of "rival" countries converge more often than most realize (More context: https://controlplanecapital.com/p/rivalry-between-countries-is-curated ).
Hashrate aggregates into ~5–7 top pools; 2–3 could cross 51% at times.
Miners "vote with feet", but:
- Payout variance pushes them to big pools.
- Pools integrate with regulated fiat ramps and insurers; they may adopt OFAC/blacklist templates to avoid headaches.
Template power: Pools select transactions. If major pools adopt "policy clients" (e.g., template filters, blacklists), settlement becomes steerable — even if blocks remain valid under consensus.
So what? Incentives favor pool compliance with state policy — especially when insurance, utilities, and public listings are involved.
2) Hardware & energy are choke-points (supply-chain centralization)
- ASIC oligopoly. 2–3 manufacturers dominate. Firmware signing, remote management, and replacement cycles create vendor leverage.
- Jurisdictional energy. Large industrial miners rely on permits, grid interconnects, subsidies. In a low Gross Consent Product environment, regulators swap "ideals" for "stability" — conditional access > rights.
- Policy carrot/stick: cheap power for curtailment agreements, transaction policies, ESG attestations; penalties for non-compliant operators.
So what? If you need the grid and the power plant, the power plant owns you, and guess who owns the power plant.
I have just described the current state of mining "decentralization". Of course this could improve/worsen in the future.
Unless mining decentralization improves significantly, increasing hashrate is irrelevant at this point.
Seems more likely that 'Bitcoin is dead unless we do this' being his opinion is behind it.
I hope when this blows over he gets a retreat or something. I love what he's done with Knots and Ocean but this BIP looks like a psychotic break.
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