What happens if everyone who wanted to buy bitcoin already bought it, but nobody really needs it outside the speculative investment thesis?

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Some thoughts:

1. Price is set at the margin.

2. If your thesis holds true, the value will stabilise at around $1T because of 1. above.

3. Point 2 will erode the ‘speculative investment thesis’ and attract capital from ‘conservative’ investors.

4. If so, scenario 2. will erode and the price will go up because of 1 (net buying > net selling)

Some thoughts:

If your thesis holds true ...

https://m.primal.net/KbMp.mp4

They will buy Monero so they can spend it easily in privacy

Rich people will seek privacy.

Curveball prediction: more Hodlers start using Taproot and OP_CSV based timelocks such as those in Liana and Anchorwatch. Onchain fees and transaction volume “problem” solved.