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Would you say that previous significant drawdowns were horrendous? Or only if it happened now, since it would not have outpaced inflation?

The Bulgarian Pork Whistle 2mo ago

More so if it happened now.

For the Bitcoin price to have hit 69k in 2021 and 4 plus years later it drops to 58k means that it has been decimated by inflation.

Not everyone buys the dips. Most retail folks FOMO into tops.

If you DCA like a good pleb (<1% of Bitcoiners) you would have done ok the last 4 years :)

But the stats don’t lie:

2013 - 2017 (~20x)

2017 - 2021 (~3.5x)

2021 - 2025 (~1.6x)

Note: this is applying man math, strong math…cycle top to cycle top OR cycle top to current price.

Dropping to 58k from 110k when the last cycle top was 69k is fucking disastrous! Especially with record ETF, Bitcoin treasury and whale accumulation inflows.

Imagine if there was no Bitcoin treasury companies, whales or ETFs! The price would be around 33k! 😂

Stay humble and stack sats for 12 years (2.5 cycles).

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Discussion

Foxfire Mushrooms 2mo ago

well, I don’t think we will get lucky enough for sats that cheap again anyway lol

Foxfire Mushrooms 2mo ago

Btw I just looked it up out of curiosity. The 1 year ago from today return is 60%. Not bad, seems like for anyone who’s DCAing it’s great. I haven’t done the math, but it feels like it’s working for my savings at least.

LaserEyesPsy 2mo ago

What do you suggest then ?

The Bulgarian Pork Whistle 2mo ago

Stay humble and stack sats for 12 years (2.5 cycles).

Don’t tell people they will retire their bloodline in a single cycle (4 years).

Stop telling people Bitcoin has a 50-60% CAGR (this is a bald face lie when you omit the early years of $1 - $20,000 growth).

Stop telling people we are in a bull run.

Start applying man math, strong math to TA.

Stay humble and stack sats for 12 years (2.5 cycles)!