I think Elon will do fine, keep his side of the fence clean (and attractive + innovative), his problem will be jurisdictional derangement, which is already in full swing. He will be forced simply withdraw from markets leaving a gap in his income and a vacuum that will be resoundingly filled with stateless Nostr.
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That is, unless he buckles and censors. But that runs diametrically opposite to why he bought Twitter in the first place. Would also represent a huge L and only delay the above, as govt derangement will then only grow.