i see a lot of you struggle to understand what #bitcoin actually does. it transfers wealth / purchasing power from late adopters to early adopters. that is all.

i really wish there was more to it. you think that is a net benefit to society? nah.

"we are so early"

when i hear that, i immediately assume you are either coping or you are a scammer. the truth is, we might be very close to the end of ngu in real terms. we had diminishing returns already, but paper bitcoin takes over from here.

sure it still works for more cypherpunk stunts. for now at least. it's not likely to last tho. the bifurcation of free-range and walled garden bitcoin has been telegraphed for a decade now. it will become reality in a few years.

does that mean it's over? idk. quiet possibly not. but i'm disgusted by the whole thing now.

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Can you elaborate? You sound like for you, Bitcoin at this point has collapsed to being only a Ponzi scheme?

i would have been very upset and defensive a few years ago if someone said that. i see the complete abandonment of all the core principles if not in words in deeds. with 99% of the effort going into endless coping and shilling, trying to rope new bagholders in.

Any answer I give will probably get dismissed as cope 🙁

It is worrying that on‑chain activity looks down. The last major fee spike from pure BTC demand was years ago - maybe 8, at least 4. That doesn’t look like an adoption curve. And who’s selling now, when even nation‑states are adopting?

I doubt OGs are selling. Institutions might take profits off‑chain in big chunks. For everyday users, wallets haven’t improved much, so adoption is either whales or plebs relying on custodians.

Plus, who knows how much batching, SegWit, and Lightning have absorbed demand so fees don’t flare up like before?

i personally think we (as in the cyberpunks) lost this one. bitcoin failed to build out defenses against regulatory capture through completely centralized and compliant valuation mechanisms. and it is getting massively diluted with paper and derivatives and frankly wall street affinity scams.

i fail to see any reason this would improve and not get worse and worse.

and like clockwork, the cope i hate the most:

our "job" was to make it possible, and leave it up to people. not to make excuses for our failures and frankly for the premature capitulation.