Replying to Avatar PAGAN WOLF

Looks like avg hashrate now around 360 for 2023

2 all time highs in this metric so far topping at a flaming 413 on Feb 27th

You may ask “why isn’t price following hash?”

Couple reasons

1: delayed metric: but this delay is longer than usual I agree if Bitcoin becomes 100% decentralised it needs to decouple from legacy markets which it has yet to do

2: paper bitcoin is increasing rapidly, more futures products globally are now available which in a short story creates a silver bullion style manipulation

3: lack of a large buyer Terra Luna was the big 2022 buyer up until they collapsed, apart from Microstrategy we have yet to see another large buyer come in…. Considering there is 11.8% of supply available not that much to go around

4: Bad Tech analysis and bad characters which people are sick of. The recent 30k is a magnet 🧲 40k is a magnet 🧲 really is pissing off a lot of HODLERS needing to see the price go up

5: Delayed promises, volcano bonds are now since the January 2022 have been promised soon with no date to speak of. Multiple institutions saying “we’re about to” and basic Misguidance like that mayor from Miami “we’re moving to bitcoin but here is Miami coin instead”

Everyday the enemies of bitcoin will continue to do what they do best… print, short bitcoin, permit more futures markets

We are lucky that 21 million is all that exists

Now it’s not magic

It’s not going to happen by itself

It needs to be bought and privately held…. 11.8% of supply left

That solves 100% of the paper frauds

Bitcoin wins when this occurs

Starve supply and it’s a massive short squeeze and we pick the price

HODL

I think also that the rehypothecation that happened in the last run up burnt a lot of people. Maybe that's been cleaned out now that bad actors like BlockFi and Celsius are gone.

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Discussion

Unfortunately bad actors now are like

Valkyrie futures bitcoin and similar products found on Binance

Infinitely traded bitcoin that isn’t there

Solution though is stopping them, unlike silver/gold all we have to do is self custody the lot and boom… paper can’t trade coz nothing to short

As we won’t sell bids run up and up

Say we set the floor at 10 million $

If they can trade infinitely

We can also starve supply until bid is infinity

It’s the first time we’ve had anything that allows us to win so easily

Does futures bitcoin trading need to actually hold any bitcoin? I thought short and long losses were paid out in fiat?