I don’t believe this. I think it’s possible to sign treaties and set up independent monitoring to stave the worst of it. Maybe not everything, but at least have some form of cooperation. We did it with nukes and can try with AI. Better than sitting on our hands doing nothing.
Discussion
Yes, because treaties are never secretly broken.
That isn’t how humans normally handle new technology. Normally, humans innovate more-or-less freely. New technologies create new problems. Humans cope with or mitigate those problems. Rarely are the problems solved unless the technology is supplanted. Innovation continues.
Yes. So perhaps the answer is to keep innovating and pushing the technology in order to counter balance the AI.
This doesn’t take in the consideration a system that is smarter than us. Imagine if an ant tried to control a human. Do you see a scenario where the ant devised a smart enough plan to keep you and me in check?
The sort of AI contemplated in that thought experiment isn’t even on the horizon.
The “godfather” of AI thinks it may be within 5 years. You know something he doesn’t?
I know in a few months his estimate will drop in 1/2.
I didn’t watch the video, so I don’t know what he said. But computers today don’t have desires and don’t understand what they’re doing. I don’t see that changing in the foreseeable future.
That’s dangerous thinking. I’m assuming it happens soon.
If you can develop a measurable prediction, I might be willing to bet. I gather you think that something like Lt. Cmdr. Data is going to exist in less than three years?
I don’t think anything, I don’t know. Nobody knows. Most predictions people make are off, but there is a possibility of them going the other direction and coming sooner than later.
The growth is exponential on a log chart.