We all have models. We all picture a future based on our assumptions, however pessimistic or optimistic our view is. Some models are just more clearly defined and some people are more sure about the accuracy of their models.

I think the power law will be generally right for the next few years. So my model has a huge margin of error and I’m also only moderately confident it will hold for 5-10 years. It’s an incredible insight and helpful in getting a rough bearing where we are.