Stimulus checks in 2020 caused M2 to leap off of the long term exponential trend line (blue, 8% CAGR). People had spending money, prices went up.

Rate hikes in 2022 bent the money supply curve downwards and now they’ve almost gotten it back to trend. I believe this was the Fed’s plan all along.

Once M2 is back to the long term exponential trend line, expect rate cuts to resume 8% annual money supply growth (theft).

Charts are log scale.

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