Nostr will draw the users as soon as either no-coiner-celebrities go full Bitcoin and eventually transcend to nostr OR when the hurdle rate to adopt nostr is low enough for a FIAT celebrity to move over.

Imagine Taylor Swift posting on trad-socials

"bye, you'll see me on nostr my friends!",

it would be the AOL moment for nostr - brace yourselves!

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What's your timeline for that?

I am ready but I dont know any celebrities :D

Seriously though, if not earlier by any weird coincidence, I'd guess no earlier than 2030. I think both nostr improves in usability and simultaneously the enshittification of the trad-socials (or centralized-socials) will intensify.

Funnily the former is in the hands of ourselves, while the latter is not.