Still haven't gotten an answer to this. I looked at these number twenty years ago, but we probably found more reserves since then.
nostr:note1uhrletrjd6pyfv3y8yw0hp3dr9rlha9pf47sjhz270kscvrvakqs99lzxg
Still haven't gotten an answer to this. I looked at these number twenty years ago, but we probably found more reserves since then.
nostr:note1uhrletrjd6pyfv3y8yw0hp3dr9rlha9pf47sjhz270kscvrvakqs99lzxg
Here I'll get you started with a very conservative example.
"In 2006, there were about 4 million tons of conventional resources.[53] In 2011, this increased to 7 million tonnes."
If I assume 4 million MJ/kg, or 4 peta joule / ton, that's 28 peta joules.
Assuming world energy consumption of 600 eta joules, mulitply by 10 to make everyone American.
So then if we only used nuclear and didn't bother to find more uranium, we'd have a whopping 0.028 / 600 * 365 * 24 * 60 = 25 seconds worth of global reserves.
Oops. Anyway, I probably made a mistake here somewhere, but this should illustrate the methodology. Repeat for all known fuel sources, allow for some supplies that we haven't yet, adjust for whatever world population size and consumption level you think it good.
No handwaving about future magic. Always hope for the best, but count on the worst.
Fwiw what I vaguely remember is fossil plus nuclear reserves are in the order of decades to centuries, which means years or decades at American standard of living for everyone.
To be fair, you asked the question in a very inflammatory way.
Some might say, on purpose.
I can't control other people's inflamation. It's perfectly reasonable question to answer for anyone who believes the American standard is good and should be the global standard. You could also do it for European standards of living, it's probably not even that big a difference.