Replying to Avatar Laeserin

On the primary market, crude oil is now going for down to $55/barrel (€47 or 44 CHF). Russian crude costs a mere $40/barrel.

Priced in gold (as an inflation-adjustment), oil has never been cheaper, except during a quick spike at the beginning of the COVID Era. Natural gas also trending steadily down, both in absolute and real terms.

This is the signal.
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Diacone Frost 3w ago

bummer that we won't see lower end consumer prices (especially for natural gas) because of emission allowances

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Laeserin 3w ago

We have the end of the "Gasspeicherumlage" tax in Germany, from 01.01.2026, the "Netzentgelte" might also fall away, and crude prices very low, so many people might actually see a drop in price.

Don't forget that CO₂ certificate prices are absolute numbers, so if they add €30, but the price falls by €40, then you have a €10 decrease.