Psychohistory in Isaac Asimov’s Foundation series is a science that predicts the behavior of large populations, but not individuals. The key idea is that while individual actions are random and shaped by numerous unpredictable factors, the behavior of large groups follows statistical patterns, making it predictable. This is why psychohistory is only effective on a mass scale—individual decisions are too chaotic and influenced by personal free will to be forecast with accuracy.
The secrecy of the Seldon Plan is also crucial. If individuals knew the specifics of the plan, they could act to subvert it, altering its course and undermining the predictive nature of psychohistory. Therefore, key parts of the plan must remain hidden to prevent human intervention, ensuring the future unfolds as predicted. This secrecy is enforced by the Second Foundation, a group responsible for guiding the plan’s progression without revealing it to others .
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