Central Banks Expected to Delay Rate Cuts to June Amid Global Easing Cycle
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Economists and central bank watchers are predicting that the first loosening of monetary policy in developed markets will be postponed from March to June. The main factors motivating central bankers to cut rates include policy normalization amid higher real interest rates, inflation falling towards or below target, and slower economic growth and rising unemployment . The rate cutting cycle is expected to be more aggressive in the eurozone compared to the US. The European Central Bank (ECB) has around 150bps to 200bps of rate cuts available, while the Federal Reserve (Fed) has around 225bps to 275bps. The market is currently pricing in slightly more easing this year by the ECB compared to the Fed, which will have implications for the value of the euro versus the US dollar and the relative p...
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