Interesting question: do I think there’s potential for #ActivityPub compared to #Bluesky?

Well, if I didn’t think there was potential, I wouldn’t run my own server.

But here’s the better question: what’s the potential of ActivityPub compared to #ATProto?

Well, we only need to look at the nodes with each protocol. Right now, there’s 30,000 nodes operating via ActivityPub. With ATProto, I don’t know how many there are—apparently, no one’s keeping stats—but I’d say there’s only one node that matters, and it’s Bluesky.

More to the point it looks like more software, platforms, and services are building off ActivityPub than ATProto.

In another sense, though, it doesn’t matter which protocol wins because there’s a bridge that talks between the two of them.