by @FinanceLancelot

"Conspiracy theory" time 👇

Phase 1: Russia

Phase 2: Middle East

Phase 3: China

Phase 1: Tie up Russia in the north so they're unable to support their allies in the Middle East

Phase 2: Pivot away from Russia leaving Europe to hold the bag.

Provide strategic air support for Israel's invasion. Claim you can't commit ground troops because you've drained your Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR) & all ammo supplies for Ukraine.

Iran retaliates against the U.S. by "cyber attacking" critical infrastructure, galvanizing the public in retaliation against Iran. Blame them for causing the stock market crash & banking system collapse.

Phase 3: Pivot to China providing naval support for all allies in the region, boxing them in after having destroyed their Belt and Road Initiative through the middle east.

The entire world is at war & you've rebuilt your manufacturing base by selling all the weapons. This is exactly what the U.S. did from 1939-1944.

This also saves the U.S. from the worst effects of the depression unleashed on the rest of the world, ensuring they recover first.

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Discussion

Yeah sounds about right. That is, if you’re an American Imperialist who thinks everything is under your control.

The world is messier than that, people who think they can create a massive global war and it will go exactly to plan are gonna have a bad time.

This isn’t the 1940s any more, America has created too many enemies and are starting with a god awful economy and culture. Little wrinkles will have outsized effects that they simply cannot control.

And the game plan on the other side?

Well there is no resistance and no other side. The big game was won before going into the game, as per the best practices of Sun Tzu. So the rest of the chess game playing out is the only thing that is left.

Checkmate

Well, Iran has its own internet, Precisely because of their hatred for the United States, So them being technically skilled enough to get past five eyes undetected would be extremely surprising but stranger things have happened.

It looks more like a slow collapse of the Russian state is happening, Again. China making land grabs to the Northeast and annexing Russian oil and gas reserves seems more likely to me. Russia is Chinas closest trading partner but in no way do I think they are loyal to each other, More a partnership of convenience, With China being in an advantageous position of gross domestic export, And a dependent American corporate class.

Iran funding Hamas looks just like Russia in Ukraine. Iran has been sending drones to Russia for attacks in Ukraine this whole time. Everyone is shouting WW3 but it looks more like losers throwing a few punches before they get disenfranchised. Saudi Arabia has no need for Iran, Just like Russ needs China and not the other way around.

If China is smart enough to play the money game through all this I will be impressed. All that said A direct confirmation with China in the South China Sea is most likely.

The AGM-158 JASSM is a low detection standoff air-launched cruise missile developed by Lockheed Martin for the United States Armed Forces. It is a large, stealthy long-range weapon with a 1,000-pound armor piercing warhead.

The US has all kinds of new infrastructure and stocks don’t pump unless shareholders get a live action test.

Based on what are you seeing a "slow collapse of the Russian state"?

Just like under Gorbachev in the 90s,And then again in 96 under Yeltzin. The last throes of Putins regime. They will try again next market cycle.

So based on nothing of substance then? I guess the msm propaganda is not at all useless, although you can find some peculiar insights again from said media, via CNN from June:

"... Bilateral trade between Russia and China totaled more than $93.8 billion from January to May in 2023, a 40.7% increase compared to the same period last year, data from China’s General Administration of Customs showed.

The data published on Wednesday also showed that China’s exports to Russia have reached $42.96 billion since January 2023, a 75.6% increase compared to 2022."

Their exports to EU via more middle men than ever is basically making more countries richer at the expense of Europe. Sanctions and price caps are openly mocked and breached. They control more fertile land than before, more shoreline and waterways, oh and they have been drafting hundreds of thousand new troops. Some serious collapse going on in Russia, I gotta say.

While this is an interesting take, Occam's Razor would suggest there is no grand plan and this is all resulting from gross incompetence and poor decision making.

Its giving alot of credit to think anyone could have planned all this.

Interesting perspective but my general impression leans more towards the US being set up (through elite capture) to lose a global conflict:

- The US is sending its stocks of weapons in the Ukraine for a war with no end in sight. Let’s not forget the catastrophic departure from Afghanistan as well.

- The US is depleting its strategic petroleum reserve supposedly to combat inflation.

- The US government is opposing oil and mining projects under the pretense of pursuing the green agenda (while this agenda would actually require more oil and metals) making the US dependent on China for strategic materials.

- The US government is weakening armed forces by pushing the wok culture and mandating harmful injections.

These are some of the numerous signals I just can’t make sense of if the narrative you shared were to be accurate.

#Geopolitics #WIII