TLDR
International AI arms race.
By 2027, potential to automate AI R&D leading to vastly superhuman AIs.
ASIs might have adversarial goals for humans 🙃 And when you ask ChatGBT about this, they’re not shy….
Two clear paths:
Race Ending & Slowdown Ending
Race Ending = international race towards ASI with cutting corners on safety. US ends up winning the race but it’s humans who lose.
Slowdown Ending = the US centralizes compute & oversight. Will other countries also slowdown?
Hopefully there’s a 3rd path that data doesn’t account for ðŸ˜