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Replying to Roman Leonardo

How is this a dumb idea: have your emergency fund in btc calculated by the current 4yr average price instead of spot.

What do you think?

Example: I spend 1500 fiat points a month and want 9 months emergency fund but don’t want it to sit there evaporating. So I keep 1500*9=13.5k

Current spot price: 58600

Current 4yr average: 33196

So I take 13.5k / 33.1k = 40660000 satoshis

Which, at todays spot price, would cost me

0.4066*58600= 23826 fiat tokens to have a 9 month reserve at (almost) all times. But, I get to hold it in Bitcoin.

Im very curious to hear how this could bite me - other than the scenario where my income disappears all at once and the bitcoin price dumps below the 4yr average like it did with covid.

6e
Roman Leonardo 1y ago

Ah I see my risk would be paying 70% more for things in the near future. If I manage to keep it safe for 4yrs + I would have enormous upside. That’s kind of what that game looks like to me.

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