Alright, that's true. But it's not a good argument against Monero privacy because the link between UTXO and the receiver is still hidden from third parties and the link between receiver and his subsequent receiver is also hidden from the sender. The link between sender's sender and the sender is somewhat obscured, as you said with probability 1/15.

I do agree that LN has better privacy than Monero, but using bad arguments doesn't help anyone.

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