Last week I went 5-0, 3-2 on the two sets of picks, so I’m back on track after a poor Week 10.

Here are my numbers for Week 11:

I can’t believe the Pats are laying wood on the road, even against the Giants. I’m probably missing something, and it’s a good buy-low, sell-high but just a strange number to me.

My Seahawks line assumes Geno Smith is playing, but the real line seems like there’s uncertainty. That’s a big number in Seattle.

I thought the Saints would be favored in Atlanta, but the market has them closer to being equal teams than I thought.

I’m buying the Raiders as a different team than before the house-cleaning. They’re not good, but they seem to show up at least. The Chiefs are off a short-week, heart-breaking loss. I think 9.5 seems excessive in Vegas.

I also see the Jags and Texans as roughly equal teams. It’s surprising the Jaguars are road favorites, albeit small ones.