My aunt asked me what I thought was going to happen this U.S. presidential election. Hereâs what I told her:
1. Irrespective of whoâs declared winner, about 30% of Americans will think it was rigged.
2. If Trump is declared winner, thereâll be protests and rioting from blue team. We saw a preview in 2020. A few downtowns will be ransacked. Store windows broken, looting. However, it wonât last long, and wonât bleed over into the suburbs. The suburbs are a jungle, and guns would come out of everywhere to stop the rioters from progressing.
3. If Kamala is declared winner, thereâll be peaceful protests, perhaps like the farmers in Europe, or the truckers in Canada. A few will be arrested, the rest quietly dispersed. Red team equates patriotism with support of the State (police, military), and so will not put up much of a fight when asked to return home.
4. In either case, two years later, the houses of Congress will flip hard the other way. Nothing much will change, legislatively. The swamp will remain undrained. Alive and well.