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Replying to Avatar Peter Alexander

Things have remained too quite globally after last week's debate.

It is fairly expected that leaders across the globe, allies and adversaries alike, are in the process of adjusting political calculations.

First, there is a far higher likelihood that all world leaders will now view the Biden administration as a "lame duck". This then means foreign policy will be at a stand still on all issues.

Second, engagement with America will now shift towards the increased expectation of a second Trump presidency. Not entirely clear what that will mean at a more detailed level.

Finally, and the only point I feel very confident in sharing is the fact that far greater overall uncertainty will now be the daily norm.

Stay safe out there people.

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bootlace 1y ago

my first reference to lame duck, fuck

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Peter Alexander 1y ago

It is possible that in the coming weeks conditions will change and world leaders will seek to re-engage with the Biden team. For now, however, they have to play the hand dealt.

Every item on the State Department's task list is now frozen in place. There is just no rationale for any party to make any concession.

Again, all of this holds for America's allies and adversaries alike.

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