GDPNow provides real-time forecasts of GDP growth using a methodology similar to the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, with the latest estimate showing -2.8% growth for Q1 2025. The model aggregates forecasts of 13 GDP subcomponents using public data and bridge equations, achieving an average absolute error of 0.77 percentage points since 2011.

https://www.atlantafed.org/cqer/research/gdpnow

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