Wherever there is excess energy, bitcoin will grow this region.

In the future, nation state power will be derived from the excess energy their economy can generate. Mining rules and policies will be enforced based on this luxury energy production; consensus rules will be enforced by the masses.

What happens when nation state law requires rejecting a valid block? Nation states enforcing such laws will find their excess energy investment wasted, as far as bitcoin is concerned. But such forks could be spared from irrelevance by declaring such coins valid for taxes, I suppose.

While nation states may try to Balkanize bitcoin, such forks will always be inferior to Bitcoin.