Replying to Avatar Lyn Alden

I used to believe in political incrementalism- the idea that you can change things gradually through better election outcomes.

But maybe it was also just youth, I don’t know.

After spending many years studying how the current monetary system works, studying how past debt and currency cycles ended, and based on practical realities from the past two election cycles, I dropped any notion of incrementalism, at least for the big economic things.

Incrementalism works for minority groups to gain social and political rights. Religious people to practice without interference, women to vote, gay people to marry, etc. Immigration policies. Things like that. But it doesn’t work for the financial system.

Instead, history and current affairs suggest that things generally point in the same structural financial direction, uncontested, until there is a massive fiscal crisis, geopolitical crisis, and trend change. And that is when politics becomes critical in all aspects- as chaos develops, the group that has enough power to set the next order *really* fucking matters. They either build a platform of virtue toward the next cycle, or they fall into the unfortunately common paths of communism or fascism.

And it is not just ideas that triumph, but technology too. Technology plays a big role in which ideas are even workable. Both ideas and technology are important.

So when I realized incrementalism wasn’t working, I sought out other methods.

The weaker method is just social- I try to put things out there with my platform to encourage reason, empathy, human rights, etc. Not partisan but also not necessarily moderate, but rather grounded in firm principles of virtue ethics.

The stronger method is to play some small part in building something better. Alternative money. Alternative communication methods. Either explaining and recommending them to people, or directly venture investing in companies that build on them and help improve the UX and solve new problems.

That’s my goal. I want to do whatever tiny part I can to bring about more peace, more fairness, more opportunity, more growth, and less destruction.

I'm starting to believe corruption in government has a positive feedback loop with people's tolerance of government overreach and incompetance. The more people become aware of it, the more they conclude its always been that way, and it wasn't so bad "when I was a kid and I turned out allright."

Accept it wasn't.

The more people tolerate, the more they get. This can be described as cultural divergence, much like how creole develops. People tend to rise to the lowest level they are expected to perform at. The same is true of government. Everyone knows secrets can only be kept only for so long, and they are hard to keep. Its best to have as few secrets as necessary. But if corruption becomes tolerated and expected... well, now you can operate under the cover of being less important than the majority of liars and thiefs.

Finally we end up with zero interest rates for eight years to compensate for the social experiment in the white house, and corruption diffuses systemically from the guy with "a pen and a phone" all the way to the office worker stealing pencils for her kid's first day of school.

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Also when a new generation is born, they have a new tolerance threshold.

new gens have less tolerance threshold, they buck the system they are born into. the pendulum swings back and forth.