So the $342B question is…does the US govt/Federal Reserve/FDIC bailout Silicon Valley Bank and its customers which include crypto companies, in which case they now have directly supported and bailed out crypto heading into what will be a tense election year, OR, do they let it collapse and teach other banks about counterparts risk and deal with contagion later?

Remember, they bailed out Bear Stearns so JPM could acquire them, but ultimately let Lehman fail. Which happens here? They’ve seen this movie and remember Powell comes from the private equity sector. He knows the game quite well and probably almost all the players. Oh to be a fly on the wall in that office!

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If the former happens, moral hazard will continue, and if the former happens, economic calamity will ensure- unfortunate lots of people will suffer but, in the end, those banks need accountability (to which I’m not even hopeful of) - me thinks.

SVB and Silvergate get unwound, and in the aftermath comes very onerous regulation against crypto.

Yeah, they conventionally caught the most reputable “stable” coin on-ramp/alternative to fiat (when waiting between buys and sells) in this mess. Now they have a hard reason to go after stablecoins too. They were the last rails honestly.

no more anon addr / wallets final nail by eye errr "sss"

They either teach people why no bank is safe, depositors are actually the least important relationship a bank has, on the books, or they piss tax payers off with another bailout, this time of the tech venture people, instead of Wall Street.

There's a moral hazard to bailout out anyone. I would love to see the conservatives say 'no' to a bailout. Do they have the backbone? Someday, investors can't have the taxpayer bail them out. Caveat Emptor to the fullest.