URL: https://steelcutter.substack.com/p/the-global-resource-war-is-going?publication_id=2821180&post_id=183141289

Collected: 2026-01-01 16:34:11 +0000

Analyzed: 2026-01-01 16:43:58 +0000

## Overall takeaway

The U.S. is shifting from economic trade conflicts to military confrontations over natural resources, particularly oil, in a multipolar world.

## Conceptual model

- Shift from economic to kinetic conflicts over resources.

- U.S. Navy's strategic repositioning for oil security.

- Emerging multipolar world with U.S., China, and Russia.

- Potential for naval skirmishes in resource-rich areas.

- Resource wars may escalate as global tensions rise.

## Next steps (optional)

- Monitor U.S. military movements in resource-rich regions.

- Analyze implications of U.S. strategies on global stability.

- Engage in discussions on resource management and conflict prevention.

## Short summary

The article discusses the shift from economic trade conflicts to kinetic confrontations over natural resources among superpowers, particularly focusing on the U.S.'s new Monroe Doctrine aimed at securing oil reserves in Nigeria and strategically challenging China. It highlights the U.S. Navy's repositioning and challenges posed by adversaries in a multipolar world.

## Comprehensive summary

- • The global landscape is shifting from economic trade wars to a quasi-kinetic conflict over critical natural resources among major powers in a multipolar world.

- • The transition from a unipolar world post-Cold War to a tri-polar or bipolar world is emphasized, highlighting the roles of the USA, Russia, China, and the BRICS bloc.

- • The U.S. naval presence in the Caribbean and Pacific is suggested to be focused on securing oil reserves rather than combating drug trafficking, signaling a new economic Monroe Doctrine.

- • Recent U.S. military actions in Nigeria appear to be a strategic effort to secure high-grade offshore oil reserves and could involve stirring ethnic conflicts to gain control.

- • The U.S. Navy is positioned to control oil transport routes from Nigeria to Texas, which are logistically favorable compared to the Persian Gulf.

- • Current vulnerabilities in maintaining choke points for shipping (like the Strait of Malacca) could be exploited by adversaries using modern weaponry.

- • The Island Chain Strategy to contain China is under strain, with American bases now within range of Chinese missiles, challenging U.S. naval power.

- • A potential Chinese blockade of Taiwan is anticipated, as China conducts military drills around the island while avoiding outright kinetic warfare.

- • Naval skirmishes against Russian shipping outside the Ukraine conflict suggest that covert military actions will escalate in various conflict zones.

- • The strategic interest in Greenland is highlighted, with its mineral wealth and location being crucial for U.S. national security against Russian and Chinese threats.

- • The emerging conflict over silver, with the U.S. potentially redirecting shipments from Mexico and Peru, indicates a shift in resource wars from economic to kinetic confrontations as 2026 begins.

## Entities

- keyword: chinese, u.s., trump, greenland, nigeria, china, kinetic, world, taiwan, silver

- location: United States, Guam, Pacific, Nigeria, Venezuela, U.S., Greenland, Red Sea, US Navy, Taiwan

- organization: U.S. Navy, PayPal, Strait of Malacca

- person: Trump, Monroe Doctrine, Jeff Bezos, Biafra, Sam Hill

## Related content

1. (3) Beware the coming false-flag or green-flag operation

Why: similarity 0.91

Summary: • The author warns of potential false-flag or green-flag operations that could trigger World War 3, specifically involving the deliberate sacrifice of a U.S. aircraft carrier and 5,000 Navy sailors

• Iran may close the Strait of Hormuz, blocking 20% of global oil shipping, causing oil prices to soar and crashing the global economy, particularly impacting China, Japan, and South Korea

• The U.S. Navy would be forced to intervene to reopen the strait, likely losing ships to Iran's mobile anti-ship missiles hidden across thousands of square miles

• Historical naval losses are cited: USS Stark (1987) lost 37 crew to Iraqi missile; British lost 6 ships including HMS Sheffield during Falklands War

• Ground invasion of Iran is deemed unrealistic due to the massive scale compared to historical operations like Okinawa, which took 3 months with a vastly stronger 1945 military

• Historical examples of false/green flag operations are provided: Lusitania (WWI), USS Liberty attack by Israel (1967), Pearl Harbor, October 7, possibly 9/11, and Gulf of Tonkin (1964)

• The author distinguishes between false-flag operations (blamed on others) and green-flag operations (allowing known attacks to happen to generate public support for war)

• Neocon warmongers are accused of potentially orchestrating such operations to justify full-scale war with Iran despite catastrophic consequences

URL: https://substack.com/home/post/p-166063612

2. How Trump's grand design for the Middle East could leave Israel in the dust - TheAltWorld

Why: similarity 0.91

Summary: • **Trump's Gulf trip had dual purposes**: Rebranding "America First" as a global vision and relaunching "Pax Americana" in the Middle East, targeting Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and UAE for massive investments in the US economy

• **US brand rehabilitation efforts**: After decades of reputational damage from endless Middle East wars, sanctions policies, financial crises, and internal polarization, Trump seeks to make America attractive again amid rising multipolar alternatives like BRICS and China

• **Economic concerns driving policy**: US national debt has reached $36 trillion, Treasury bond rates approach dangerous 5% ceiling, and Trump's advisers now view the dollar's reserve currency status as a liability rather than an asset

• **Strategic Middle East importance**: Region remains crucial for energy resources, trade routes, migration leverage against Europe, pressure points against Russia's Muslim minorities, and potential to divide OPEC+ while pressuring China's oil dependence

• **Gulf states' massive investment pledges**: Saudi Arabia, Qatar, and UAE competed with $3 trillion in forward investments, including UAE's seemingly unrealistic $1.4 trillion 10-year deal (annual GDP only $500bn)

• **Israel's diminishing role**: Trump bypassed Tel Aviv to negotiate directly with Hamas, made separate Yemen deal without protecting Israel, re-engaged Iran on nuclear talks, and pursued Saudi deals without requiring Israeli normalization

• **Breaking diplomatic traditions**: Trump meets Syria's interim leader, lifts Damascus sanctions without guarantees, partners with Gulf rulers and Turkey, hoping eventually to include China and Russia in his business-focused grand design

URL: https://thealtworld.com/marco_carnelos/how-trumps-grand-design-for-the-middle-east-could-leave-israel-in-the-dust

3. The Rutherford Institute :: The Real National Emergency: Endless Wars, Failing Infrastructure, and a Dying Republic | By John & Nisha Whitehead |

Why: similarity 0.91

Summary: • **The U.S. continues to expand military operations globally while neglecting domestic needs** - In 2025, America launched airstrikes in Yemen, bombed Houthi-controlled areas killing civilians, deployed more troops to the Middle East, and moved closer to war with Iran, all while infrastructure crumbles at home

• **Military spending represents empire maintenance, not national defense** - The military-industrial complex profits from endless wars and global policing while veterans sleep on streets, schools deteriorate, and bridges collapse

• **America maintains a vast military presence worldwide** - With 1.3 million active troops and over 200,000 stationed overseas across nearly 800 bases in 160 countries, costing $156+ billion annually to protect oil fields and corporate interests rather than American freedoms

• **War spending is bankrupting the nation** - The U.S. spends almost 50% of global military expenditure, more than the next 19 nations combined, having spent over $10 trillion on wars since 2001 at a rate of $32 million per hour

• **Military contractors engage in massive fraud** - Boeing overcharged taxpayers by up to 177,000% for basic parts, with the Pentagon unable to account for hundreds of millions in spending

• **U.S. military actions create dangerous blowback** - The military drops a bomb every 12 minutes globally, has contributed to 500,000 deaths since 9/11, with attacks like 9/11 and Boston Marathon representing blowback from foreign interventions

URL: https://www.rutherford.org/publications_resources/john_whiteheads_commentary/the_real_national_emergency_endless_wars_failing_infrastructure_and_a_dying_republic

4. (3) Is the UAE and the Islamic World Already the New Host of the Financialists?

Why: similarity 0.90

Summary: Here is a summary of the document:

• **The UAE is emerging as a potential new global financial center**, following a historical pattern where financial power shifts from declining centers (Venice → Amsterdam → London → Wall Street) to new hosts

• **The Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC)** has grown rapidly since 2004, hosting over 3,000 international firms by 2022 with 19% annual growth, offering zero corporate taxes for 50 years and a unique legal system

• **The "Financialist Kill Chain"** is described as a seven-step process (influence, debt, asset targeting, destabilization, swaps, extraction, collapse) that has historically hollowed out empires and is now potentially targeting the Islamic world

• **The Global War on Terror (GWOT)** is suggested to have been a strategic setup, laying groundwork for financial control over the Middle East region and its resources, particularly young men for future conflicts

• **The UAE serves as a bridge** between Sharia-compliant finance and global standards, positioning itself as neutral while channeling resources into post-conflict states like Syria (requiring $250-400 billion reconstruction)

• **A potential 300-year cycle** is proposed where the Islamic world becomes the new base for financialist operations, with UAE as the new "City of London" and Qatar as the intelligence hub

• **Resistance exists** from the Russia-China-Iran axis through de-dollarization efforts, with the possibility that the U.S. might join BRICS to escape the financialist system

URL: https://emburlingame.substack.com/p/is-the-uae-and-the-islamic-world?publication_id=858260&post_id=168073640&isFreemail=true&r=133f0v&triedRedirect=true

5. No, the War Isn't Over - by Lau Vegys

Why: similarity 0.90

Summary: • **Ceasefire claims and reality**: Despite a technical ceasefire after two weeks of strikes between Israel, Iran, and the U.S., all sides claim victory while remaining unsatisfied; Netanyahu was furious about terms, and U.S. intelligence shows strikes only delayed Iran's nuclear program by months, not years

• **Iran's strategic threat**: During peak tensions, Iran's parliament voted to authorize shutting down the Strait of Hormuz in retaliation for nuclear strikes, causing panic among U.S. officials who even asked China for help to prevent it

• **Critical oil chokepoint**: The Strait of Hormuz, just 21 miles at its narrowest point, carries one-third of global seaborne oil trade from five major Persian Gulf producers (Saudi Arabia, Iran, Iraq, UAE, Kuwait), making it the world's most critical oil passage

• **Historical context and current risk**: This parliamentary vote marks only the second time Iran has taken formal legislative action to close the Strait (first was 2012), but current active warfare makes the threat more credible than previous rhetoric

• **Potential economic impact**: A blockade would remove 20 million barrels daily (20% of global supply) from markets, far exceeding the 4-5% disruptions of the 1973 and 1979 oil shocks that quadrupled and doubled prices respectively

• **U.S. vulnerability**: Despite being the largest oil producer, America still imports 6 million barrels daily and indirectly imports oil through manufactured goods, meaning closure would significantly impact U.S. oil prices and economy

URL: https://www.crisisinvesting.com/p/no-the-war-isnt-over?publication_id=87095&post_id=166918143&isFreemail=true&r=133f0v&triedRedirect=true

6. Netanyahu’s New Slant to Lure Trump into War with Iran - The Ron Paul Institute for Peace & Prosperity

Why: similarity 0.90

Summary: - • The document discusses recent aggressive actions by the Trump Administration, including the seizure of tankers linked to Venezuela, which are deemed acts of war and indicative of a lawless foreign policy.

- • These actions are primarily aimed at undermining China and Russia, with the U.S. sending significant military support to Taiwan, escalating tensions further with China.

- • There is a divide within the Trump Administration, highlighted by conflicting narratives from intelligence officials, with Tulsi Gabbard asserting that the U.S. intelligence community believes Russia does not intend to invade Europe.

- • The document raises questions about Trump’s motivations for potentially escalating conflict with China and why he would engage in discussions with Netanyahu regarding Iran.

- • Netanyahu's upcoming meeting with Trump is suggested to focus on Iran, shifting away from the previously emphasized threats from Hamas and Gaza.

- • Israeli commentary indicates a new narrative prioritizing the Iranian ballistic missile program, which poses a strategic threat to Israel beyond just nuclear capabilities.

- • Netanyahu is expected to convey to Trump that the reconstruction of Iran’s missile defenses must be curbed, framing it as an urgent threat to regional stability.

- • The document concludes by noting that while Trump may seek a new regional order without war, Netanyahu will likely push for immediate action against Iran, leveraging Trump's past support for Israel.

URL: https://ronpaulinstitute.org/netanyahus-new-slant-to-lure-trump-into-war-with-iran/

## Pointed questions for discussion

- How might the shift to kinetic conflicts reshape global alliances?

- What are the potential consequences of U.S. actions in Nigeria?

- In what ways can nations collaborate to prevent resource wars?

## Sentiment

Score: -0.30

## Provider

OpenRouter / openai/gpt-4o-mini

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