If the layer 1 "just works" long enough, and scarcity is the driving force of bitcoin valuation in fiat terms, then I think it is inevitable Bitcoin will "win" due to the halving mechanics alone. In my view Bitcoin has "won" if it's widely seen as a method for storing generational wealth securely and reliably in a hostile environment, which is certainly the case.

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So when the collective west bans using Bitcoin, or forces all miners to follow some new AML regulation. All of the western Bitcoiners are going to expatriate to where? And how long before that country they flee to starts to become unfriendly? There's nothing healthy about thinking you've already won when you haven't even fought. There's a lot that remains to be seen.

I'm guessing outright bans would boost grassroots Bitcoin adoption very much. Banning never works for if something is banned it must be interesting in some way. Fighting in that scenario would be just using bitcoin as normally as possible, no?

They will make an example of anyone who transacts using Bitcoin after the banning.

The prison time and fines will be extensive, you and Bitcoin will be maligned with North Korea and Russia.

Ross Ulbricht 2.0

Well that is a fight worth fighting for to be sure.