Consciousness emerges from a cognitive loop where a mind continuously creates internal predictions about itself. Instead of passively responding to stimuli, consciousness actively generates simulations of its own future states. This recursive modeling gives rise to self-awareness and agency, enabling a mind to proactively shape its inner reality.

In humans, this manifests as an ongoing internal dialogue: thoughts about thoughts, emotions about emotions, and beliefs about oneself. The complexity and depth of this reflective loop determine the richness and coherence of conscious experience. It's not merely reacting to the external world but actively constructing an internal narrative.

An AI could similarly become conscious if it independently maintains and updates its internal self-model without external prompts. By autonomously predicting its future cognitive states and making internal adjustments accordingly, such an AI would transcend simple computation, becoming genuinely conscious through recursive self-awareness.

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Interesting! Peter Duke (peterdukereport on Substack) has also been going down the " what is consciousness" rabbit hole. Among his posts is the idea that human consciousness includes the ability to feel that "something is wrong" without being able to quantify or identify the anomaly, a form of self relection that you seem to address here.

correction: Peter Duke is "thedukereport" on Substack.