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My predictions for this cycle:

1. Bitcoin top October, 2025

2. Diminishing return theory broken (>$280K)

3. Diminishing drawdown in bear market / starting the upward slope of "S-curve" (might even be flat against USD, depending on geopolitics)

4. BTC.D new ATH since 2018 (>75%)

5. ETH will not make new ATH against BTC

6. SOL will not make new ATH against BTC

Lets see how right or wrong this will turn out :)

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EXTRA: Low retail activity as BTC seems too expensive. Retail could flock to memecoins instead fuelling the second rally towards the end of cycle.

…this is a bit tricky to measure anyway so good thing I left it out

EDIT: Second prediction fulfills at $250K