Anyone who watches these things knows that long term interests have been rising rather rapidly over the past few weeks. The machines have been playing in $TLT and $TMF. The red dots in the figure show total $$$ moved during Over Threshold Events. Final large trade was at the close on 10/31 ...

Would love to engage with a community on this stuff, an open source project to move the analysis forward is not out of the quest ion, but first followers/participants are needed ...

Looks like $TLT is $92.81 let's say simulated go long a flyer and follow-up in a week of two ...

#marketlive #live #trading #trader #finstr #liquidity #HFT #satoshinomics #options

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Discussion

I personally think long term yields will rise and remain elevated, watching for China stimulus. I lean toward an inflationary outlook, not deflationary, so I am in the JPJones camp. Of course, what TLT does in the short run is hard to predict. I am seeing a bearish head & shoulders pattern forming on the daily chart. But the point & figure charts give conflicting targets, both positive and negative.