Probably too much of a broad stroke to be dividing bitcoin by the earth’s entire population because that is not a real world use case. If anything you would start with numbers that assume a basic kind of independence status, ie old enough to make purchasing decisions that facilitate some sort of “lifestyle.” How many 2 year olds need to be included in the “number” is debatable. I get that there is a point to be made about scarcity and rounding off the world’s population to the nearest billion makes for easy math but the real distribution is likely quite a bit higher.
Discussion
The population of the earth will likely pass 12 billion before it levels out do to resource scarcity (we already produce enough food to feed 12 billion people a year but USA wastes about half of that food destroying it to keep the prices high so that multinational corporations can profit.
Dividing Bitcoin between the current world population is an underestimate on the number of people that could potentially be using it in future
You brought up a point that I had not considered, population numbers say at the year 2100 (estimated to be approx 10-12 billion). So I did some research based on 12 billion. Assuming some similarities to current monetary distribution among populations, the higher end estimate for users of BTC if on a bitcoin standard is 7 billion. The rest are too young, incapacitated or dependent. It is possible that there will be no unbanked people left by then, but there should still be legal and cognitive barriers in place which will significantly affect distribution. It’s possible that with a population of 12 billion you would have a hypothetical distribution of 300k sats per legal individual. Of course this also is not a real use case because none of these projections factor in commercial, sovereign and national accumulation.
nailed it!