Probably this would be happened. Need to check mempool.space for more accurate estimation.
Discussion
mempool.space is just another node, so estimates are not more accurate then yours, if you run a node and do not apply filters.
Mine were already probably off, since I don't drop transactions: when mempool.space shows a network congestion and transactions < n sat/vbyte are dropped by their mempool, my node keeps and relays them.
Yes, using bitcoin core default setting seems resulting similar estimation result like mempool.space . What i mean is in this context that your own hosted mempool.space using patched bitcoin core will be give more inacurate estimation mainly due to not having any ordinal transation. Inacurate estimation relative to 'popular tools '.
Yes, you are right.