Last week the Bills barely survived, and you got very lucky if, like me, you were on them, but as I’ve said many times, “Deserve’s got nothin’ to do with it.”

Let’s take a look at Week 7:

If you have the Bills at 17.4 percent owned you’ll probably want to use them, but most people have burned them already, otherwise they’d be a lot more heavily owned.

Assuming that’s the case, it looks like we have our first pot-odds fade of the year. The Seahawks are nearly 58 percent owned, but only -335 (averaging both moneylines). That equates to 77 percent chance to win.

The 49ers and Chiefs (which many have also used) are 73 percent and 68 percent, respectively. In other words, the Niners are 27 percent likely to lose to the Seahawks’ 23 percent. But the payout should 58 percent of your pool get knocked out on Seattle would be massive.

So I’d probably take the Bills (even though I’m a bit nervous about them after last week), and barring that, I’d go 49ers, pending Christian McCaffrey and Trent Williams’ statuses, and then the Chiefs.

And that’s it. Had I used all those teams, I’d go Seahawks despite the huge upside in fading them. The remaining teams carry too much risk.